Vietnam’s PM wants to speed up credit growth

Vietnam’s Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc delivers remarks during his Oval Office meeting with US President Donald Trump at the White House in Washington, May 31, 2017 (Reuters photo)

HANOI — Vietnam’s prime minister has called for an increase in credit growth to 21% this year to help the communist country hit its economic growth target, state media reported on Monday, potentially adding to concerns over the pace of new lending.

Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc stated the goal at a meeting of top officials at the weekend, where he emphasised the importance of hitting the 6.7% annual economic growth target, VietnamNews Agency and other state outlets said.

In February, Vietnam’s central bank set a 2017 credit growth target of 18%, and there has been no announcement that the official target has been increased.

The central bank cut its refinancing rate by 25 basis points to 6.25% in July

If the prime minister’s goal becomes an official target, this could make further interest rate cuts more likely, said ANZ economist Eugenia Victorino.

“But then the quality of credit growth and the quality of growth overall in the economy may be at risk,” she said.

The July rate cut came just days after the International Monetary Fund voiced concerns about credit growth and said rates should stay on hold.

Vietnam is still suffering the fallout from a 2011 banking crisis, caused by excess lending into sectors such as real estate.

But the government is also hard pressed to meet its 2017 growth target after the economy grew at an annualised rate of 5.73% in the first half. Growth of 6.21% last year fell short of a revised target of 6.3-6.5%.

“Vietnam should stimulate domestic consumption, create market confidence, boost investment in manufacturing and business, strive for credit growth above 21% and reduce the input costs for manufacturing and business,” Prime Minister Phuc was quoted as saying.

He also put emphasis on restructuring state-owned enterprises and privatisation under a plan to sell more shares in them this year.

A trader at a Vietnamese bank said the central bank was capable of ensuring credit growth topped 21% by the end of the year, but she questioned whether this was sensible.

“I don’t think the central bank needs to inject money,” she said. “There are risks. When they inject that much dong, there could be an impact on the exchange rate.”

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